Las elecciones en Francia

(Reuters Breakingviews) - The curse of the frontrunner is proving brutal in the French presidential race. Financial scandal has hurt the presidential chances of early favourite Francois Fillon, who came from behind to win the centre-right party’s primaries. Independent reformer Emmanuel Macron has gained, but there is also an opportunity for the business-unfriendly hard left to exploit.

Macron, rather than Fillon, is now expected to face far-right Marine Le Pen in the second round of the French presidential election – and will beat her handily if an opinion poll published on Monday is any guide. No doubt, this would be a relief for investors.

Le Pen’s promises to take France out of the euro zone and hold a referendum on EU membership have pushed up the cost of insuring against a French default as well as the yield premium that French bonds offer over German ones. But far-right pledges aren’t the only ones that businesses and money managers should be worrying about. There’s also potential for surprises from the left.

Benoit Hamon, who came from virtually nowhere to become the ruling Socialist’s presidential candidate, shares some economic sympathies with the hard-left Jean-Luc Melenchon, who is currently standing as an independent. For example, Hamon wants to tax robots and introduce a basic universal wage for all citizens. Melenchon’s platform includes rolling back labour reforms, a hefty hike in the minimum wage, and pay rises for public sector workers.

 

 

Opinión del artículo:

Es interesante como algún candidato gana la primera ronda teniendo mucho menos de la mayoría de los votos. El que está más seguro de pasar a la segunda ronda solo tiene alrededor del veinticinco por ciento. Aun así, me gusta como cada uno de los candidatos tiene propuestas inteligentes. Por ejemplo, Marine LePen estudio acerca de ley y economía ofreciendo una plataforma razonable para aumentar el valor de los bonos del país. También me gusta ver como los candidatos son muy preparados, muchos llevan toda la vida estudiando y preparándose para este momento. Creo que es importante mirar la realidad de otros para tener un panorama más grande del nuestro. 

Alumno Diana Lizeth Romo Estolano

Fuente: 

Reuters.com

By Swaha Pattanaik | LONDON look left for the next election surprise